Well, another week in the Pac-10 is over and the picture gets clearer by the week.  Cal continues to look to be the class act of the league, ahead of Oregon with USC still having enough mojo to keep pace with the those two for the top 3.  The middle of November will be very interesting with both Cal and Oregon headed for LA to take on the yet to be really tested USC.

Clearly weaker than the top teams is ASU but since they haven’t played a Pac-10 team not on in the top group, ASU is the wildcard of the Pac.  They might be part of the middle, they might be on their own, they might just stink.  In any case, after getting blown out by Cal and Oregon, their ability to play USC close in LA suggests that Oregon and Cal have the upper hand on USC.

The middle of the Pac seems to be made up of fairly equal teams including Washington, OSU, WSU and UCLA.  WSU may be the best of those 4 teams and UCLA the weakest but they’re all fairly equally matched.

Arizona and Stanford make up the bottom of the Pac and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this past weekend’s head to head matchup be the only game in which either of them pulls out a conference win.

OK, onto the statistics.  My unbeaten streak ends after two weeks with the upset of OSU over Washington, but I still won the rest.  Overall I did really well with the statistics except for two games where I completely blew one of the two metrics.  The first was the OSU game where whenever one picks a decisive victory and the other team decisively wins, it’s going to be a bad margin of victory metric.  The other was the over-under for the Cal game was WAY off, 38 points to be exact.  Luckily for me, the rest of my predictions were good enough to continue to improve my metrics.

Here are the numbers:

• MVD: 13.8 (down from 14.3 with new scores of 10, 8, 8, 25 and 1)
• TPD: 13.1 (down from 13.4 with new scores of 38, 8, 2, 3 and 1)
• Winning Percentage: 84.1% (down slightly from 84.6% after going 4-1)

Tune in later in the week for the Cal game preview and new Pac-10 predictions.

This entry was posted on Sunday, October 15th, 2006 at 12:48 pm and is filed under Sports, Sports - Cal Football. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.